ITC Hits Rs 500: Jefferies Says ‘Buy’ on No Tobacco Tax Rejig in Budget

ITC Limited, a leading conglomerate in India, has seen its stock price soar to Rs 500 for the first time, driven by positive market sentiment following the Union Budget 2024-25. The budget announcement, which left tobacco taxes unchanged, has been a significant factor in this surge. Jefferies, a global investment bank, has upgraded ITC’s stock to a ‘Buy’ rating, citing the stability in tobacco taxation as a key reason for their optimistic outlook.

The stock market reacted positively to ITC’s milestone achievement, with shares reaching a record high of Rs 510.60. This surge was fueled by the absence of any changes in tobacco taxation in the recent budget. Investors have shown increased confidence in ITC’s ability to maintain its market position and continue its growth trajectory. The stability in tobacco taxes allows ITC to focus on volume growth without the need for significant price hikes, which is expected to benefit the company’s bottom line.

Jefferies’ upgrade to a ‘Buy’ rating further boosted investor sentiment. The investment bank raised its target price for ITC to Rs 585 per share, highlighting the potential for continued growth. This positive outlook is based on the expectation that the stable tax environment will support ITC’s efforts to counter illicit trade and reinforce its market standing through innovation and product availability.

Impact of Budget 2024-25 on ITC

The Union Budget 2024-25 has had a significant impact on ITC’s stock performance. The decision to keep tobacco taxes unchanged was a relief for the company, which had been facing uncertainty regarding potential tax hikes. This stability is crucial for ITC, as it allows the company to plan its strategies without the immediate threat of increased costs. The budget also included measures to support rural demand, which is expected to benefit ITC’s non-tobacco businesses, such as FMCG and agriculture.

Analysts have noted that the unchanged tobacco taxes and stable GST rates until March 2026 are significant positives for ITC. The company can now focus on consolidating its market position and driving growth across its various business segments. The budget’s emphasis on rural development is also expected to boost demand for ITC’s products, further enhancing the company’s growth prospects.

Future Prospects and Investment Outlook

Looking ahead, ITC’s future prospects appear promising. The company’s diversified business model, which includes FMCG, hotels, paperboards, and packaging, provides a strong foundation for sustained growth. The stable tax environment and positive market sentiment are expected to support ITC’s efforts to expand its market share and drive innovation across its product portfolio.

Jefferies’ positive outlook on ITC is based on the company’s ability to leverage its strengths and capitalize on market opportunities. The investment bank’s target price of Rs 585 per share reflects the potential for significant upside in ITC’s stock. Investors are advised to consider ITC as a strong buy, given the favorable market conditions and the company’s robust growth strategy.

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